Sports Predictions
8 rounds. Predict outcomes using real sports statistics.
Watch the simulation play out, then see how close you were.
How it works:
1. Read the sports scenario and probability
2. Predict how many successes will happen
3. Watch the animated simulation play out
4. Score points based on how close you were
Scoring: Exact = 100 pts, off by 1 = 80, off by 2 = 60, off by 3 = 40, off by 4+ = 20
About Sports Predictions
An 85% free-throw shooter still misses roughly 1 in 7 shots — that's not bad luck, it's the math working exactly as expected. Eight rounds across 5 sports ask you to predict outcomes from real statistics, then run an animated simulation to see how often the "expected" result actually happens versus how often streaks and upsets show up anyway.
It's a fast, concrete way to internalize the gap between a probability and a guarantee — the same gap that makes streaks in real sports look meaningful when they're often just what the numbers predict.
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